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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – TUI - 18 September 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 1310p
  • Stop Loss: 1295p (15p/1.1% below)
  • Profit Limit: 13455p (35p/2.7% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.3x
  • CFD Margin: 10%

Observations – For

  • Bounce off rising low support 
  • Bullish cross by MACD
  • Momentum back positive
  • Bullish extreme swing by stochastics

Observations – Against

  • MACD still negative
  • 50/100/200-hour MAs could be a hurdle
  • Dome daily technicals not as bullish
  • Sensitive to European, UK consumer confidence and EUR currency.

Analyst Comments

Attractive technical set-up with shares having  bounced off major rising support. Looking at long-term chart, activity of th elast month could even represent a bullish flag that sends the shares 100p higher than recent highs. Beneficiary of global risk appetite, consumer confidence and a weaker EUR.

Consensus is very bullish (only 3% sells) with over 75% of broker targets suggesting upside from current levels. Our short-term trade objective of 1345p is well below consensus target of 1430p. Share price bounce could encourage neutral brokers to upgrade their ratings and targets.

Next Event: Pre-close trading update, 28 Sept

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  73% Buy, 23% Hold, 5Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

6-week (hourly); MACD, Stochastics, Relative Strength Index, Momentum & Trend Strength

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -0.6 -0.4 16.1 15.1 27.9 9.4 N/A N/A N/A
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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