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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Tesco - 16 October 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 186.8p
  • Stop Loss: 182p (4.9p/2.6% below)
  • Profit Limit: 196p (9.1p/4.9% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 1.9x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Observations – For

  • 4-month rising channel
  • Stochastic bounced from oversold
  • ADX (trend strength) has rising support

Observations – Against

  • Momentum neutral
  • RSI neutral
  • Falling highs since 4 Oct

Analyst Comments

Positive technical set-up with shares in rising channel. Turnaround on track, hence rebound since June. Recent results saw dividends resumed. Today sees bond buyback announced to use excess liquidity for further reduction of debt. Buying Booker to increase exposure to UK consumer retail . Still number one UK grocer according to Kantar data. Touted as possible prey for Amazon.

Consensus is of a bearish persuasion but, with the shares in such a strong uptrend , this may require neutrals  and/or negatives to upgrade to a more bullish stance. The consensus target corresponds with rising resistance as well as our trade objective. Upward revisions to both ratings and targets required? Back to 200p+?

Next Event: Q3 and Christmas Trading Statement, 11 Jan

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  23% Buy, 32% Hold, 46Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

4-month (4-hourly); MACD, Stochastics, Relative Strength Index, Momentum & Trend Strength

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -0.8 2.9 8.2 3.0 4.2 -3.7 3.5 -47.8 -39.7
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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