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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – Royal Bank of Scotland

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Royal Bank of Scotland - 20 April 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 274p
  • Stop Loss: 260p (14p/5.1% below)
  • Profit Limit: 315p (41p/15% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.9x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Technical Observations – For

  • Bullish breakout
  • Bounce from floor of long-term rising channel
  • Bullish cross by Directional Indicators
  • Bullish reversal on Point & Figure chart

Technical Observations – Against

  • Stochastics & RSI overbought
  • 100-day MA could be a hurdle
  • No volume surge on price breakout
  • ADX (trend strength) yet to rise

Analyst Comments

Attractive share price breakout opens the door for a rally towards Jan highs. Q1 Results, if better than expected, could be the catalyst for further share price gains. RBS less exposed to PPI than peer Lloyds.  Any further news on settlement of US litigation (miss-selling) could clear more of the cloud hanging over the shares. As could any hints on government stake sales, share buybacks or even dividends (unlikely). After posting its first FY profit in almost a decade (in Feb), will it be able to add to this with a profitable first quarter?

Broker consensus is positive (only 10% are Sellers), but with a significant 50% of Neutrals. This offers potential for the current share price breakout to encourage said Neutrals to upgrade their ratings to Buy. Especially with 81% of analysts target prices suggesting upside from current levels. 

Next Event: RBS Q1 Results, 27 Apr (Lloyds on Weds, Barclays on Thurs)

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  39% Buy, 50% Hold, 11% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

16-months (daily) - MACD, Stochastics, Trend Strength, RSI, Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 3.6 6.4 -7.8 -2.1 16.3 12.8 -21.5 -9.5 -2.3
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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