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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – Kingfisher (KGF)

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Kingfisher (KGF) - 6 July 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 312.6p
  • Stop Loss: 295p (17.6p/5.6% below)
  • Profit Limit: 355p (42.4p/13.6% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.4x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Observations – For

  • Bounce off 2.5yr lows + bullish breakout
  • MACD & Momentum still climbing
  • ADX (trend strength) turned up from lows
  • Point & Figure chart shows bullish reversal

Observations – Against

  • Stochastics overbought (but could stay there)
  • RSI nearly overbought
  • No bullish cross on daily directional indicators
  • No volume confirmation on breakout

Analyst Comments

Nice technical signals. Potential for rally back and fill the May gap-down. Retail shares seeing fresh interest after a tough end-May and flat June. Strong performance at Screwfix (trade and online) and in Poland. Potential for recovery in French subsidiaries (Castorama, Brico Dépôt) if Macron delivers on pro-growth reforms.

Consensus is evenly split between buy/holds/sells, which offers potential for upgrades as the shares rebound. Note 63% of broker target prices suggest upside from current levels and the consensus target (337p) would take us more than half-way back to filling a gap on the chart (355p), which is our trade objective.

Next Event: Q2 Trading update, 17 Aug

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  29% Buy, 38% Hold, 33Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

5-month (4-hourly); MACD, Stochastics, Relative Strength Index, Momentum & Trend Strength

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 3.2 -4.2 -1.8 -8.8 1.4 -10.7 -13.5 -14.7 13.6
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