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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Barclays - 12 September 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 190.75p
  • Stop Loss: 183p (7.8p/4.1% below)
  • Profit Limit: 205p (14.3p/7.5% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 1.8x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Observations – For

  • Bounce off floor of down channel 
  • Breakout above 3-week falling highs
  • Bullish jump in volume
  • Stochastics & RSI back form oversold
  • Momentum back positive

Observations – Against

  • Shares in multi-month downtrend
  • MACD still negative
  • No bullish Point & Figure reversal
  • 50-day MA could be a hurdle at 200p
  • Sensitive to global risk appetite

Analyst Comments

Attractive technical set-up with shares having  bounced off major support. Higher UK inflation increases the chance of a bank of England rate rise which would benefit bank sector profitability. Beneficiary of global risk appetite.

Consensus is pretty bullish (52% Buy, 20% hold, 28% sells) with over 75% of broker targets suggesting upside from current levels. Our trade objective 205p is lower than the consensus target of 220p. Share price bounce could encourage more negative brokers to upgrade their ratings and targets.

Next Event: 3rd Results, 31 Oct

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  52% Buy, 20% Hold, 28Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

4-month (4-hourly); MACD, Stochastics, Relative Strength Index, Momentum & Trend Strength

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 0.2 -4.4 -7.7 -17.8 9.1 -26.2 -15.5 -32.7 -3.3
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