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Home / Trade Alert / Sell – Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS)

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Sell – Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) - 28 March 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 239.9p
  • Stop Loss: 243.5p (3.6p/1.5% above)
  • Profit Limit: 232p (7.9p/3.3% below)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.2x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Technical Observations – For

  • 5-week falling highs resistance
  • Stochastics overbought
  • RSI falling highs resistance
  • Momentum turned over
  • Point & Figure chart still bearish

Technical Observations – Against

  • Stochastics weren’t oversold
  • RSI wasn’t overbought before last bounce
  • Momentum still positive
  • ADX trend strength still waning
  • MACD still on the rise

Analyst Comments

Shares technically nursing a downtrend since Feb highs, potentially even forming a 2-week bearish descending triangle that could ultimately take the shares back towards 220p. Doubts about Trump getting policy like bank deregulation through congress. Concerns that inability to enact pro-growth stimulus means less inflation and thus less Fed rate hikes which is a negative for banks. Still struggling with legacy issues and legal problems in the US.

Consensus is neutral, but with a bearish leaning. This means potential for downgrades, especially as target prices are split 50/50 between seeing upside or downside. The share price is sitting just above the consensus target, meaning potential for a small sell-off, which is all we are looking for on this short-term trade.

Next Event: Q1 results, 28 Apr

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  11% Buy, 56% Hold, 33Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

5-week (hourly) - MACD, Stochastics, RSI, Momentum, Directional Indicators

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -0.5 2.3 3.3 36.7 6.8 -30.4 -20.9 -13.9 -16.7
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