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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – Vodafone (VOD)

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Vodafone (VOD) - 7 December 2016

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 195p
  • Stop Loss: 188p (7p/3.6% below)
  • Profit Limit: 210p (15p/7.7% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.1x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Observations – For

  • Decent 3% bounce from 190p
  • Stochastics turning up from oversold
  • Directional Indicators converging bullishly
  • ADX (trend strength) peaked after downtrend

Observations – Against

  • No Bullish cross yet on directional indicators
  • Momentum still negative
  • No Point & Figure chart reversal yet
  • MACD still at depressed lows

Analyst Comments

Telecoms sector been shunned since Trump election spurred hopes of fiscal stimulus and bond yields peak to calm the hunt for yield.  VOD seeing more interest than troubled peer BT as OFCOM bars BT/EE from bidding for additional wireless spectrum due to market share. Since US joint venture disposal, VOD often touted as a takeover candidate. Generous dividend (5.95% yield) makes the shares attractive.

Consensus has a positive bias but also has a significant number of neutrals who could upgrade their views in light of the share price having found a bottom and begun to bounce. Note 87% of target prices suggest upside from current levels and the consensus valuation is 25% above where we trade today.

Next Event: 2016 trading update, 2 Feb

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  53% Buy, 40% Hold, 7Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

12 month (daily) - MACD, Stochastics, RSI, Momentum, Directional Indicators

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 0.6 -8.5 -12.9 -15.7 -9.3 -15.3 -32.1 -2.8 -10.1
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