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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – Lloyds Banking (LLOY)

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Lloyds Banking (LLOY) - 24 August 2016

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 59.2p
  • Stop Loss: 55p (4.2p/7.1% below)
  • Profit Limit: 72p (12.8p/21.6% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 3.0x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Observations – For

  • Breakout above July highs and 5-day MA
  • MACD risen back to positive
  • Momentum & RSI have rising lows
  • Bullish cross by Directional indicators

Observations – Against

  • Stochastics close to overbought
  • MACD already reversed handsomely
  • Point & Figure chart already made bullish reversal
  • Banks tend to be volatileet

Analyst Comments

Lloyds shares have attracted renewed interest thanks to a bullish breakout beyond July highs. The company is still in recovery mode post-crisis but has made much more progress than bailout peer RBS. A return to profit and resumption of LLOY dividends adds to the shares’ attraction, as does a steady handed CEO. Fears of negative interest rates have dissipated after the Bank of England helped banks by offsetting a rate cut with lending stimulus.

Half of brokers still neutral or negative means potential for the recent breakout to result in re-evaluation and upgrades to more positive ratings. With the shares trading so close to the consensus target, this could also see an upward revision, especially with 70% of broker targets still suggesting upside from current levels.

Next Event: Q3 statement, 26 Oct

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  46% Buy, 32% Hold, 21Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

8-month (daily) - MACD, Stochastics, RSI, Momentum, Directional Indicators

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 9.7 8.7 -15.7 -5.9 -21.9 -22.4 -20.8 73.9 109.2
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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