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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – BP (BP.)

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – BP (BP.) - 10 May 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 460p
  • Stop Loss: 453p (7.0p/1.5% below; remember to adjust for 7.7p ex-div)
  • Profit Limit: 475p (150p/3.3% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.1x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Observations – For

  • Bullish break back above pivotal 455p level
  • Stochastics rebound from oversold
  • Momentum back positive
  • Point & Figure chart = bullish reversal

Observations – Against

  • Yet to clear 200-day moving average
  • Stochastics swung back close to overbought
  • No bullish cross by directional indicators
  • 100-day MA could be a hurdle at 470p

Analyst Comments

Bullish breakout above key pivotal level. Potential for oil price to rally if this afternoon’s US EIA inventory data shows a big drawdown like API last night, relieving global supply glut fears. Also potential for more supportive rhetoric about a production cut extension from OPEC members in run-up to its end-month meeting in Vienna.

One of the few UK Index stocks with zero sell ratings from brokers. Potential for upgrades by the army of Neutrals if the current breakout extends. The average of May broker updates is for upside to 522p, which along with the 502p average of all targets is well beyond our trade objective for a return to mere 3-month highs of 475p.

Next Event: Ex-div 7.7p, tomorrow; AGM 17 May

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  41% Buy, 59% Hold, 0Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

3-month (4-hourly) - MACD, Stochastics, RSI, Momentum, Directional Indicators

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 2.2 -2.3 0.2 0.3 30.7 -0.4 -8.3 -1.3 13.7
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