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Index Focus - 5 August 2016

Equities are positive this morning as a modicum of trust in central banks’ willingness to intervene returns to the markets. Asia exposure and a weak GBP are boosting those stocks lucky enough to benefit from either or both – think miners, oil majors and a select group of major defensives – and sees them contributing most to the UK 100 in terms of points. At the other end we’ve got a mix of those banks unlucky enough to have seen their shares impacted negatively post-results (it’s a 50/50 punt if you’re trading with banks these days), retailers and stocks that are simply selling back from recent highs.

The UK 100  has tested the ceiling of what could be a new 170pt trading range, with its hourly RSI hanging around in or near overbought territory. The DAX 30 has also tested resistance which could lead to a double top reversal, especially if the Euro strengthens off the back of a weaker Sterling. Dow Jones futures are in a rising channel with a pop above its current level 18383 likely to please bulls. Gold is a little weaker despite a slightly weaker USD this morning.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6620? or;
  2. Will the index rise back above highs of 6780?

The UK 100  is consolidating into a new trading range as it sells back fromearlier highs just north of 6780. The RSI has fallen back strongly form overbought.

Watch levels: Bullish 6765, Bearish 6730

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 6747, 6740, 6720, 6700, 6687, 6683
  • Potential resistance: 6755, 6770, 6780

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 10100? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 10475?

The DAX 30 is breaking down out of a 2 day rising channel and testing support at the 100-period moving average. Note resistance at a falling trend line potentially causing a correction back to the lows of 10,100.

Watch levels: Bullish 10290, Bearish 10200

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 10211, 10180, 10161, 10122, 10100, 10092
  • Potential resistance: 10258, 10275, 10287, 10300

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards highs of 18520? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 18246?

Wall Street/Dow Jones futures are supported around 18360 and a bullish convergence of the 200- and 50-period moving averages. Resistance at 18400 needs to be bettered if a return to the week’s highs is to be considered a possibility.

Watch levels: Bullish 18410, Bearish 18335

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 18360, 18343, 18324, 18300, 18280, 18260, 18245
  • Potential resistance: 18380, 18400, 18445, 18470, 18520

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1350? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1367?

Gold in a narrowing range with support above the major moving averages.

Watch levels: Bullish $1366, Bearish $1356

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1362, 1360, 1359, 1357, 1355, 1350
  • Potential resistance: 1364, 1365, 1366, 1367

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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