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Index Focus - 30 August 2016

Equities have a made a positive start to the penultimate trading session of the month. All that fuss surrounding Friday’s Jackson Hole speech by Fed chair Janet Yellen has subsided with markets washing down the normal hawkish medicine with a more tasty dovish chaser. Investors are anything but panicked at the prospect of another US rate rise this year. The later the better of course, but they look to believe that the pace of any hikes will still be slow and steady, and best of all data dependent. After all, hikes mean US economic recovery and while the Fed has a domestic mandate, it doesn’t want to derail the global economic recovery either. Peer policy easing is also helping keep the USD stronger, tightening policy indirectly. Calm has returned for now. Until Friday’s US jobs report that is.

The UK 100 is testing the ceiling of a 2-week falling channel at 6840. Breakout or retrace? The DAX 30 is itself testing the ceiling of a channel but this one is sideways 10450-10650. Will it retrace or forge higher? The weaker EUR is helping exporters. Dow Jones futures are hemmed in between shallow falling highs and rising lows at 10500, still within spitting distance of all-time highs. Gold is under pressure from that stronger US dollar, unable to bounce beyond $1325 overnight.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6612? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6955?

The UK 100 is testing the ceiling of a 2-week falling channel at 6840. Breakout or retrace? Still in longer term uptrend and the RSI not quite overbought (yet).

Watch levels: Bullish 6865, Bearish 6815

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 6830, 6820, 6810, 6870
  • Potential resistance: 6847, 6860, 6885, 6900

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 10100? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 10800?

The DAX 30 is itself testing the ceiling of a channel, but this one is sideways 10450-10650. Will it retrace or forge higher?  The weaker EUR is helping exporters. Still in a longer term uptrend. Note the RSI overbought though.

Watch levels: Bullish 10675, Bearish 10620

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 10650, 10600, 10565, 10550, 10500, 10450
  • Potential resistance: 10660, 10700, 10740, 10750, 10800

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards highs of 18670? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 17740?

Dow Jones futures are hemmed in between shallow falling highs and rising lows at 10500, still within spitting distance of all-time highs.

Watch levels: Bullish 18530, Bearish 18480

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 18490, 18460, 18420, 18380, 18340
  • Potential resistance: 18510, 18525, 18575, 18640

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1200? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1375?

Gold is under  pressure from that stronger US dollar, unable to bounce beyond $1325 overnight as equities remain and demand for the safehaven recedes.

Watch levels: Bullish $1326 Bearish $1319

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1320, 1315, 1312, 1306, 1300, 1280, 1260
  • Potential resistance: 1325, 1328, 1330, 1335, 1340, 1345, 1355

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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